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Calbrooks
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What can we expect from the Bears Offense in 2019
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Nagy is returning every starter on offence this year. Same player, same coaches, same scheme. Can we all say a prayer of thanks? This is almost unheard of in Chicago.

I know some like to put the breaks on expectations, mainly due to fears that Mitch won't progress, but honestly I feel that stems from past failures jading them. If you watch the tape from last season with the focus on Mitch and what went well and what went bad, you will see most of the bad was early in the year. By mid season the good really started to drown out the mistakes. We saw a QB getting more comfortable and making fewer mistakes. I am not sure why we should not expect that growth to continue? I think it is follish to think he will regress. Mitch will be good enough QB to win championships. He won't be the one thing holding us back.

The OLine is another reason I see the Bears being able to improve. They were solid last year but had room to improve. Mainly in the run game. It was not till later in the season that we were able to see the running game finally have more success than stall. I really think the focus at the start of the season was on the passing game. That is the identity that Nagy wants to make. I think they hoped that the run game would muddle through on Howards back and they kind of ignored it. I think Nagy will spend more time on the run game this offseason now that the passing game has the basics under their belt. That should help Howard and the OLine a lot. Watching the games, a lot of the problem was negative plays. Defenders making it into the backfield. Give the big guys up front a little more work with Howard and they will shore that up.

Form there it all just starts building from the success of each other. I am not trying to say the Bears are going to be the next "greatest show on turf", but they can easily be a top ten offense. Combine a top ten offense with a top ten defense and watch the Bears become the team to beat.

Calbrooks
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POST COUNT: 7765
Re: What can we expect from the Bears Offense in 2019
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Throughout the 2018 Chicago Bears season much was made about how the offense had its struggles and needed to be better as the defense carried the team. Mitchell Trubisky and company were essentially an average offense, with flashes of greatness, that left most fans wondering what could be if everything clicked.

Taking a closer look, Trubisky was a different quarterback after struggling in the first few games against the Packers, Seahawks and Cardinals. In fact, he was unlike anyone the franchise had seen before. Trubisky’s 101.0 passer rating from Week 4 to the end of the regular season ranks as second best in franchise history, a great sign of what is to come in 2019.

The Bears playoff game was actually a very useful microcosm of just how Trubisky’s sophomore season went. In the first half, Trubisky was 13 of 23 for 105 yards, no touchdowns and no interceptions for a 68.2 rating. In the second half, Trubisky hit 13 of 20 for 198 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions for a 114.2 passer rating.

And if Trubisky’s last 12 games, as well as the second half against the Eagles, was not quite enough to have you excited for the potential of the offense, there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic.

Looking Into Advanced Statistics

One of the best sites for advanced statistics for the NFL is footballoutsiders.com, who publish their weighted efficiency for each overall team as well as individually weighing the offense, defense and special teams.

In Trubisky’s rookie year, the Bears were unsurprisingly ranked 28th in offensive efficiency due to the lackluster play calling of then offensive coordinator Dowell Loggains. The passing game could never get going under Mike Glennon or Trubisky, and Jordan Howard was constantly running against loaded boxes.

Under new head coach and play caller Matt Nagy, though, the Bears made a nice jump to the number 20th overall offense in 2018. Not great by any means but a much-needed improvement compared to the previous year.

However, there are a number of other statistics that suggest the Bears offense could be primed for a big leap in the upcoming season. First and foremost the Bears were ranked 11th overall in points per drive in 2018, and since the only way to win games in football is by scoring more points than the other team, this number is definitely significant.

Additionally, the Bears were sixth overall in time of possession per drive, 12th in touchdowns per drive, sixth in points per red zone trip and sixth in touchdowns per red zone trip. The Bears were also 16th overall in yards per drive and considering they were dead last in that category in 2017 it is quite the improvement.

Lastly, the offense did all of this while being second overall in their average lead at the beginning of a drive with their 4.24 points, which was only behind the Chiefs. And when you have a defense like the Bears did in 2018, it becomes less important to score when you are winning and more important to not put the defense in a bad spot.

All of these stats pieced together indicate that the offense was both moving the ball and finishing drives when in the red zone more than traditional stats show. The signs are clearly there that this offense could be ready to lead the team back to the playoffs even if the defense takes a step back in 2019.

*****

Quarterbacks like Michael Vick, Alex Smith and Carson Wentz all made statistical improvements in their second years within this offense. Furthermore, skill position players Tyreek Hill, Travis Kelce, LeSean McCoy, Jeremy Maclin and Desean Jackson all improved their numbers in Year 2 of the offense.

The greatest help may come from skill position players Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel, Anthony Miller, Tarik Cohen and Howard who will be sophomores in the offense too. Trubisky will also have the entire offseason to continue building a rapport with these players in addition to Burton, who was familiar with the offense.

*****

One thing that is almost certain is that Pace will do what he can to improve the offense the way he sees fit. Whether that means trading up to draft a dual-threat running back or drafting a speed threat to take the top off the defense and open things up underneath for everyone else, expect Pace to do what he can to add talent to an already skilled offense.

If the 2019 rendition of the Chicago Bears want to finish what was started in 2018 by making the Super Bowl, they really need to take the next step on offense.

With young but established playmakers like Robinson, Miller, Burton and Cohen on the roster to help Trubisky, it is hard to envision a scenario in which the offense does not improve.

https://www.chicagoaudible.com/bears-offense-big-step-2019/

Train like you are 2nd, but play like you are 1st.

The Shadow
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POST COUNT: 8733
Re: What can we expect from the Bears Offense in 2019
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Hopefully, Nagy adds a little Razzle-Dazzle this year! frown

What will the future bring? We shall see, won't we!

PapaBear.OR
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POST COUNT: 11250
Re: What can we expect from the Bears Offense in 2019
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I expect a lot of progress on the offensive side of ball in multiple ways.  Players in their second year in a system should and likely will be more comfortable and cut back on mistakes, this improvement should compound with players being all on the same page.  QB and recievers should benefit most.  Add to that younger players growth and an offensive line gelling as a unit.  Mentally this group is expected to be better again this season, how much better remains to be seen.

The brain trust should improve as well.  Installing a new system is no small task and now they are past that.  Now they get to begin to perfect their own craft and I think they will.  They run game specifically was weak within the system last season and I expect much better things from it this year.  Nagy will grow as a game planner, play caller.  Last year was really his first time in this role as the lead dog.  What he did while having to install a new system and learn all about a new group of players and what they could do was remarkable.  I expect him to look much better on game day this season with the ability to focus on that specifically much more.

All and all I expect the offense to make a jump from a little below average, to well above.  I expect them to manage the clock bette, field position, and control games better.  I would expect an uptick in games like they had vs the bucs, and they should be less dependent on the defense to bail them out of their mistakes.  In fact I expect it to be the other way around this season where they are much more likely to truely compliment the defense.

Butkus never wore an earring

The Shadow
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POST COUNT: 8733
Re: What can we expect from the Bears Offense in 2019
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PapaBear.OR wrote:

I expect a lot of progress on the offensive side of ball in multiple ways.  Players in their second year in a system should and likely will be more comfortable and cut back on mistakes, this improvement should compound with players being all on the same page.  QB and recievers should benefit most.  Add to that younger players growth and an offensive line gelling as a unit.  Mentally this group is expected to be better again this season, how much better remains to be seen.

The brain trust should improve as well.  Installing a new system is no small task and now they are past that.  Now they get to begin to perfect their own craft and I think they will.  They run game specifically was weak within the system last season and I expect much better things from it this year.  Nagy will grow as a game planner, play caller.  Last year was really his first time in this role as the lead dog.  What he did while having to install a new system and learn all about a new group of players and what they could do was remarkable.  I expect him to look much better on game day this season with the ability to focus on that specifically much more.

All and all I expect the offense to make a jump from a little below average, to well above.  I expect them to manage the clock bette, field position, and control games better.  I would expect an uptick in games like they had vs the bucs, and they should be less dependent on the defense to bail them out of their mistakes.  In fact I expect it to be the other way around this season where they are much more likely to truely compliment the defense.

I see some skill players taking a huge step this upcoming season. WR Wims, LG Daniels, a 100%healthy WR Miller too! Plus Bishkit taking that next logical step and reducing his Oh Shit plays versus his Wow plays.

What will the future bring? We shall see, won't we!

PapaBear.OR
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POST COUNT: 11250
Re: What can we expect from the Bears Offense in 2019
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The Shadow wrote:

I see some skill players taking a huge step this upcoming season. WR Wims, LG Daniels, a 100%healthy WR Miller too! Plus Bishkit taking that next logical step and reducing his Oh Shit plays versus his Wow plays.

I hope Wims finds his way on to the field this season.  I thought he showed a lot of promise.  Depth at WR is something I'm honestly not sure I have ever seen on a Bears roster, but if all stay healthy it might be hard for a guy like Wims to see the field again this season.

Butkus never wore an earring

The Shadow
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POST COUNT: 8733
Re: What can we expect from the Bears Offense in 2019
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PapaBear.OR wrote:

 

The Shadow wrote:

I see some skill players taking a huge step this upcoming season. WR Wims, LG Daniels, a 100%healthy WR Miller too! Plus Bishkit taking that next logical step and reducing his Oh Shit plays versus his Wow plays.

I hope Wims finds his way on to the field this season.  I thought he showed a lot of promise.  Depth at WR is something I'm honestly not sure I have ever seen on a Bears roster, but if all stay healthy it might be hard for a guy like Wims to see the field again this season.

If he cannot beat out Bellamy, then he is not who I thought he was.

What will the future bring? We shall see, won't we!

PapaBear.OR
PapaBear.OR's picture
POST COUNT: 11250
Re: What can we expect from the Bears Offense in 2019
0

The Shadow wrote:

 

PapaBear.OR wrote:

 

The Shadow wrote:

I see some skill players taking a huge step this upcoming season. WR Wims, LG Daniels, a 100%healthy WR Miller too! Plus Bishkit taking that next logical step and reducing his Oh Shit plays versus his Wow plays.

I hope Wims finds his way on to the field this season.  I thought he showed a lot of promise.  Depth at WR is something I'm honestly not sure I have ever seen on a Bears roster, but if all stay healthy it might be hard for a guy like Wims to see the field again this season.

If he cannot beat out Bellamy, then he is not who I thought he was.

I don't think it's that he cannot beat out Bellamy as a WR, it's that he can't beat out Bellamy on STs and with the depth at WR as good as it is they can only suit up so many players for game day.........

Butkus never wore an earring

Calbrooks
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POST COUNT: 7765
Re: What can we expect from the Bears Offense in 2019
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Brad Childress might not be done coaching after all.

The former Vikings coach is expected to rejoin the Chicago Bears staff as a senior offensive assistant/consultant, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reported.

It would be Childress' second stint in the Second City. And it comes just a few months after he left. Childress worked as an offensive analyst for the Bears last season, this after following Matt Nagy from Kansas City to Chicago. The pair worked under Andy Reid for five years, including the 2016 season as co-offensive coordinators of the Chiefs.

They're set to reunite for a third time after Childress, an Illinois native, seemingly had a change of heart about coaching in the Alliance of American Football. Childress was slated to coach the Atlanta Legends with Michael Vick as his offensive coordinator but abruptly resigned in January, just a few weeks before the inaugural season opener.

*****

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001021565/article/brad-childress-expected-to-return-to-bears-as-assistant

Yet another piece from last year brought back. It is interesting that he backed out of his HCing gig only to return as a consultant for Nagy.

Train like you are 2nd, but play like you are 1st.

PapaBear.OR
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POST COUNT: 11250
Re: What can we expect from the Bears Offense in 2019
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Calbrooks wrote:

Brad Childress might not be done coaching after all.

The former Vikings coach is expected to rejoin the Chicago Bears staff as a senior offensive assistant/consultant, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reported.

It would be Childress' second stint in the Second City. And it comes just a few months after he left. Childress worked as an offensive analyst for the Bears last season, this after following Matt Nagy from Kansas City to Chicago. The pair worked under Andy Reid for five years, including the 2016 season as co-offensive coordinators of the Chiefs.

They're set to reunite for a third time after Childress, an Illinois native, seemingly had a change of heart about coaching in the Alliance of American Football. Childress was slated to coach the Atlanta Legends with Michael Vick as his offensive coordinator but abruptly resigned in January, just a few weeks before the inaugural season opener.

*****

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001021565/article/brad-childress-expected-to-return-to-bears-as-assistant

Yet another piece from last year brought back. It is interesting that he backed out of his HCing gig only to return as a consultant for Nagy.

I was just looking for a place to post this......... Not official yet but the expectation seems realistic.  To be honest though, I understood the want to have a vet. coach around as a consultant in Nagy's first season.  Not sure I understand the need or role to be played from here on out though. 

Butkus never wore an earring

Calbrooks
Calbrooks's picture
POST COUNT: 7765
Re: What can we expect from the Bears Offense in 2019
0

PapaBear.OR wrote:

 

Calbrooks wrote:

Brad Childress might not be done coaching after all.

The former Vikings coach is expected to rejoin the Chicago Bears staff as a senior offensive assistant/consultant, NFL Network's Tom Pelissero reported.

It would be Childress' second stint in the Second City. And it comes just a few months after he left. Childress worked as an offensive analyst for the Bears last season, this after following Matt Nagy from Kansas City to Chicago. The pair worked under Andy Reid for five years, including the 2016 season as co-offensive coordinators of the Chiefs.

They're set to reunite for a third time after Childress, an Illinois native, seemingly had a change of heart about coaching in the Alliance of American Football. Childress was slated to coach the Atlanta Legends with Michael Vick as his offensive coordinator but abruptly resigned in January, just a few weeks before the inaugural season opener.

*****

http://www.nfl.com/news/story/0ap3000001021565/article/brad-childress-expected-to-return-to-bears-as-assistant

Yet another piece from last year brought back. It is interesting that he backed out of his HCing gig only to return as a consultant for Nagy.

I was just looking for a place to post this......... Not official yet but the expectation seems realistic.  To be honest though, I understood the want to have a vet. coach around as a consultant in Nagy's first season.  Not sure I understand the need or role to be played from here on out though. 

As HC Nagy cannot be everywhere. Maybe He liked how well Brad helped implement his offense? Or maybe the two of them have a good time in the basement drawing up crazy plays at two in the morning.

Train like you are 2nd, but play like you are 1st.

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